Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
Terry McLaurin has been among the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Terry McLaurin has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
Terry McLaurin's 43.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 68.0.
The Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) versus wide receivers this year.

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