Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accrue 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (21.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.2% in games he has played).
Terry McLaurin has been among the top WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 62.0 yards per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Terry McLaurin has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 137.0) to wideouts this year.

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