Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Terry McLaurin has run a route on 93.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 56.7%.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.91 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the league.

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