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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+109/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Howell in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Terry McLaurin has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).
  • Terry McLaurin's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 68.0.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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