My Account Log Out
 
 
Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.4 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Terry McLaurin has notched far fewer air yards this season (91.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™