Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to notch 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a more important option in his offense's pass game this week (29.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.2% in games he has played).
Terry McLaurin has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 70.0 yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 61.8% to 67.0%.
Terry McLaurin's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this season, totaling 9.81 yards-per-target compared to a measly 8.61 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in football.
Terry McLaurin has notched far fewer air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).

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