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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a more important option in his team's air attack this week (27.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Terry McLaurin has compiled far fewer air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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