My Account Log Out

reorder

Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -258 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -260.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (21.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).

The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Terry McLaurin has posted far fewer air yards this year (86.0 per game) than he did last year (103.0 per game).

Terry McLaurin's 50.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 68.0.

The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Terry McLaurin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™