Terry McLaurin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving TD

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Terry McLaurin has put up a colossal 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Terry McLaurin's 63.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for WRs.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 56.7%.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 4th-least TDs through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.74 per game since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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