Terry McLaurin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving TD

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Terry McLaurin has accumulated a monstrous 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.
Terry McLaurin's 64.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for wideouts.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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