Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Terrace Marshall has compiled significantly more air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (15.0 per game).
Terrace Marshall's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 14.6.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.43 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the NFL.