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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Terrace Marshall has compiled significantly more air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (15.0 per game).
  • Terrace Marshall's 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 14.6.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.43 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the NFL.

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