Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Terrace Marshall Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Terrace Marshall has posted significantly more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
Terrace Marshall's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 14.6.

Favors Under

The Panthers have been the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Terrace Marshall's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.9% to 55.7%.

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