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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-818).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +390.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terrace Marshall to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (15.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
  • Terrace Marshall has compiled significantly more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (15.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 51.6 plays per game.
  • Terrace Marshall grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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