Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Terrace Marshall Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-520).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +303 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +295.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Terrace Marshall has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Terrace Marshall has posted far more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (15.0 per game).
Terrace Marshall's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 14.6.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Terrace Marshall's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.9% to 53.9%.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 9th-least TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.75 per game this year.

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