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Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-765).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +410 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +375.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are an enormous 13-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Terrace Marshall has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Terrace Marshall has posted significantly more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
  • Terrace Marshall's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 14.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Terrace Marshall's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.9% to 55.7%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 7th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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