Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Terrace Marshall Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Terrace Marshall Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+294/-515).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +302 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +294.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Terrace Marshall has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.2% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Terrace Marshall has put up significantly more air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
Terrace Marshall's 33.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 14.6.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
Terrace Marshall's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.9% to 56.5%.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.