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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • In this week's game, Tee Higgins is anticipated by the projections to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.5 targets.
  • Tee Higgins's 64.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 52.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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