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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+126/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tee Higgins to total 10.6 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tee Higgins's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 52.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.
  • The Bengals offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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