Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The projections expect Tee Higgins to garner 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Tee Higgins's 62.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 47.4.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Tee Higgins's play as a receiver has declined this season, accumulating a mere 3.1 adjusted receptions compared to 5.3 last season.
Tee Higgins's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 71.6% to 41.0%.

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