Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
This week, Tee Higgins is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among WRs with 6.7 targets.
Tee Higgins rates in the 81st percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a massive 53.7 figure this year.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling a measly 3.6 adjusted catches compared to 5.3 last season.
Tee Higgins's 57.3% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a significant diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 71.6% rate.

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