Tee Higgins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to notch 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this week (23.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance improved this season, averaging 5.3 yards per game compared to just 4.1 last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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