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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Tee Higgins has been among the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 5.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Tee Higgins's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 67.3% to 74.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Tee Higgins's 46.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 60.1.

The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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