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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+136/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (26.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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