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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tee Higgins to accumulate 9.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Tee Higgins has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (28.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).
  • Tee Higgins's 3.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a material diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.5% rate.
  • The Eagles pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.4%) versus wideouts this year (61.4%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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