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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This week, Tee Higgins is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 90th percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, Tee Higgins ranks in the towering 88th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 86.0 per game.
  • Tee Higgins's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 52.6.
  • With a terrific 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Tee Higgins places as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Tee Higgins's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a mere 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.30 mark last year.
  • Tee Higgins's 2.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.5% rate.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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