Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.1% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The model projects Tee Higgins to total 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
After totaling 71.0 air yards per game last season, Tee Higgins has seen a big uptick this season, currently boasting 82.0 per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bengals are forecasted by the model to run just 60.1 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Tee Higgins's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a meaningful drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 74.0 figure.
Tee Higgins's 43.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a noteable regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 71.6% rate.
Tee Higgins's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 5.58 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.99 rate last season.
This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.6 yards.

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