Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
The projections expect Tee Higgins to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
When talking about air yards, Tee Higgins grades out in the lofty 85th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 78.0 per game.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 119.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Tee Higgins's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 38.3%.
Tee Higgins's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 5.07 yards-per-target vs a 9.99 rate last year.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 2.86 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.