Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Tee Higgins to earn 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Tee Higgins has posted a monstrous 77.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.
Tee Higgins's 50.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 78th percentile for wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 72.0 yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Tee Higgins's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.6% to 46.0%.
Tee Higgins's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a mere 6.25 yards-per-target compared to a 9.99 mark last season.

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