Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
This week, Tee Higgins is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among WRs with 6.7 targets.
When talking about air yards, Tee Higgins ranks in the towering 80th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging an impressive 74.0 per game.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
Tee Higgins has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (74.0).
Tee Higgins's 57.3% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a significant diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 71.6% rate.

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