Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (66.9% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
This week, Tee Higgins is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.6 targets.
Tee Higgins has compiled a monstrous 74.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 56.2 per game on average).
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.0 per game) this year.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
Tee Higgins's 54.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a remarkable regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.0 figure.

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