Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to notch 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this week (23.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
Tee Higgins has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 65.0 yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
Tee Higgins has put up quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 7.72 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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