Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+111/-147).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Tee Higgins has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (71.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
Tee Higgins's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.2% to 76.2%.
Tee Higgins has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 10.45 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 87th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Tee Higgins has notched far fewer air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
Tee Higgins's 40.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 60.6.

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