Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to earn 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
Tee Higgins has put up a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins's 56.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 88th percentile for wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 59.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.03 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.