Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to garner 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 74.0 yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Tee Higgins's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.3% to 71.6%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).
Tee Higgins's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 60.1.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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