Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
Tee Higgins has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 74.0 yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Tee Higgins's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 67.3% to 74.3%.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Tee Higgins has posted quite a few less air yards this year (70.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).
Tee Higgins's 46.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 60.1.

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