Tee Higgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tee Higgins

NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (+106/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 75.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (26.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Tee Higgins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (73.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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