Tee Higgins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Tee Higgins

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-260).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Tee Higgins has accumulated a monstrous 88.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 87th percentile for WRs.
Tee Higgins ranks in the 77th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.32 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among wide receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (57.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.