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Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tee Higgins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (25.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.0% in games he has played).

Tee Higgins's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 68.2% to 75.0%.

Tee Higgins ranks in the 81st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Tee Higgins has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (73.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).

Tee Higgins's 49.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 60.6.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

More Tee Higgins Player Props

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