Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Teddy Bridgewater

NFL · Player Props

Teddy Bridgewater

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 230.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 238.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The New England Patriots pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (67.3%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.31 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The New England Patriots defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.48 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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