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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 43.0% run rate.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projections to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

In racking up a massive 5.0 carries per game since the start of last season, Taysom Hill stands among the top quarterbacks in football (85th percentile) in regards to running usage.

With an outstanding rate of 27.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Taysom Hill rates as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in football since the start of last season.

Taysom Hill's running effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 6.39 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.24 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing squads have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 108.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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