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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (43.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 4.9 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest rates in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (85th percentile).
  • Taysom Hill has generated 27.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among QBs (82nd percentile).
  • Taysom Hill's running effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 7.02 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.24 mark last year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (125 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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