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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 5.1 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the league among QBs (87th percentile).
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (84th percentile).
  • The Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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