Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average).
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Taysom Hill's 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a a significant drop-off in his running skills over last season's 39.0 mark.
Taysom Hill's running efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a mere 5.50 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 6.43 mark last year.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 78.0 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

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