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Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the New Orleans Saints to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.The Saints have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.In logging a staggering 4.6 carries per game this year, Taysom Hill ranks among the top QBs in the league (77th percentile) as it relates to rushing volume.As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's group of DTs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 37.3% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.Taysom Hill's 26.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a a material drop-off in his running prowess over last season's 39.0 rate.This year, the porous Houston Texans run defense has yielded a massive 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 24th-highest rate in the NFL.
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