Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.8 carries per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (90th percentile).
This year, the tough Giants run defense has surrendered a paltry 4.95 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 30th-lowest rate in football.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Taysom Hill has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).
Taysom Hill's 5.42 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 6.43 mark.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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