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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 5.8 carries per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (90th percentile).
  • This year, the tough Giants run defense has surrendered a paltry 4.95 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 30th-lowest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Taysom Hill has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).
  • Taysom Hill's 5.42 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 6.43 mark.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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