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Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
  • Taysom Hill has averaged 5.2 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (86th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints as the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Taysom Hill has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
  • Taysom Hill's 5.56 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a material decrease in his running prowess over last year's 6.43 figure.

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