Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.2 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (86th percentile).

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Saints as the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Taysom Hill has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
Taysom Hill's 5.56 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a material decrease in his running prowess over last year's 6.43 figure.

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