Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).
In totaling a staggering 5.4 carries per game this year, Taysom Hill stands among the top QBs in the league (86th percentile) as it relates to running workload.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
Taysom Hill has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (32.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).
This year, the weak Minnesota Vikings run defense has yielded a whopping 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 27th-worst rate in football.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's DT corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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