Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Taysom Hill has averaged 5.6 carries per game this year, one of the largest rates in the league among quarterbacks (84th percentile).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
Taysom Hill has run for significantly more yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
Taysom Hill's running efficiency has improved this year, totaling 9.08 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 5.37 rate last year.
Taysom Hill has been among the top QBs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 4.13 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 42.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the NFL (just 97 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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