Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 20, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.2 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league among QBs (82nd percentile).
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
Taysom Hill has rushed for a lot more yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.
The New Orleans Saints have faced a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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