Taysom Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Taysom Hill

NFL · Player Props

Taysom Hill

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Taysom Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
Taysom Hill has averaged 5.2 rush attempts per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (82nd percentile).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Taysom Hill has rushed for many more yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-least yards in football (just 94 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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